PERTANIKA JOURNAL OF SOCIAL SCIENCES AND HUMANITIES

 

e-ISSN 2231-8534
ISSN 0128-7702

Home / Regular Issue / JSSH Vol. 25 (4) Dec. 2017 / JSSH-1530-2016

 

Estimation of Future Paddy Production and Sustainable Land Allocation in Malaysia: A Polynomial Approach

Subramaniam Munusamy, Yogambigai Rajamoorthy and Khalid Abdul Rahim

Pertanika Journal of Social Science and Humanities, Volume 25, Issue 4, December 2017

Keywords: Average yield per hectare, Future paddy land requirement, Food security, Paddy production, Polynomial approach, Rice demand, Sustainable paddy farming, Self-sufficiency level

Published on: 5 Dec 2017

This study examines the trend of paddy production and allocation of land for between 2014 and 2030 based on polynomial function. In order to gauge the time variance effect on sustainable land allocation for paddy production, short-term and long-term scenarios were used in estimating future paddy production and average yield. This study finds that with successive increases in the intensity of the long-term paddy productivity, the land required for paddy plantation in the future will be diminished. Additionally, the average yield per hectare explains the difference between long-term and short-term projection and emphasises the crucial need for improvement in research and development (R&D) and discovering alternative measures for domestic paddy production. Therefore, due to its increasing population, Malaysia has to ensure an efficient allocation of land for development and paddy plantation to cater to both current and future needs.